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Saturday, June 16, 2012

On the Origin of American Partisanship


On the Origin of American Partisanship

By Means of Socio-environmental Factors

            As 2011 came to a close, the Congressional approval rating reached the historic low of 11 percent, translating in 86 percent of Americans disapproving of the way the 111th Congress conducted its business in Washington (Newport, 2011). The polling numbers reinforce the growing frustration many Americans feel towards Congress, but where is the animosity stemming from? The most popular answer seems to be partisanship. Politicians and pundits throw the word frequently when discussing Congress and the current state of American politics as a whole, but what does partisanship mean, what are the causes of partisanship, and why is it apparently so pervasive in the present American political scene? If partisanship began permeating American politics after 1980, then the socio-environmental factors influencing the development of future politicians began in their youth; therefore, their political attitudes evolved into ones more polarized, which has had a cascading effect since 1980 on the whole of political culture in the United States.
The politicians of the 1980s were the first generation to bring partisanship to the levels of government, as their generation, the generation that came of age during the early days of the Cold War, matured. The members of the 97th Congress averaged an age of approximately 51 years (Alex Lowe, Kurt Wilberding, Ana Rivas, 2011). Using that information, the average year of birth would be 1929, and then the average year of adulthood would be 1947. With 1947 as the beginning of the period for when these individuals would be most likely have been influenced by external forces, one can predict how the post-war world would have impacted the future members of the 97th Congress.
             The emergence of the United States as a superpower, the beginning of the Cold War, Korea, the threat of Communism, McCarthyism, the inception of the modern Civil Rights Movement, it all began in the 1950’s. When these eventual members of Congress were leaving for college and making their life their own, the external pressures of the reality of the world began to bear down upon them.
“It may metaphorically be said that natural selection is daily and hourly scrutinising, throughout the world, the slightest variations; rejecting those that are bad, preserving and adding up all that are good; silently and insensibly working, whenever and wherever opportunity offers, at the improvement of each organic being in relation to its organic and inorganic conditions of life. We see nothing of these slow changes in progress, until the hand of time has marked the lapse of ages” (Charles Darwin, Origin of Species, 80, 1870)
            Darwin provides a compelling explanation for why partisanship appears to have begun after 1980; it is because the socio-environmental factors that were born out of the post-war 20th Century took root within the malleable minds of the youth of the 1950’s. Their parents’ generation had survived the Great War only to see another looming on the horizon. Reluctant to face the challenges posed by Adolf Hitler and Benito Mussolini, their parents’ generation hoped that by appeasement and isolation, the prospect of another worldwide confrontation would simply fade away.
            In contrast, the generation that came to age during the 1950’s and 1960’s experienced a new world, one fraught with new challenges and opportunities in the wake of the devastation of World War II. The war had transmitted to the sons and daughters of the era the need to be resolute and bold; the seriousness of the enemies the United States faced created divergent approaches to combating the problem. The environment of the post-war era gave rise to political attitudes that grew progressively less compromising as the generation matured; the evolution was slow but steady, until “ages” had passed before partisanship came to American politics.
            If this assumption is correct, that socio-environmental factors are responsible for the increase in partisanship over the past thirty years, then those who participate in politics (vote) should also have been affected. There appears to be some support between the political polarization of elected officials and their constituency. Voters who were parented by the generation born in the 1930’s (baby boomers) would have been influenced by their parents’ political views, which themselves had grown more intense. Turnout for voters between 45 and 64 years of age has swayed congressional elections in favor of partisan candidate. Although voter turnout for this age group has actually decreased from 62.2% in 1982 to 51.1% in 2010, the combined turnout for 45-64 years old and 65 and older age groups out votes all other age groups combined (United States Census Bureau, 2011). These voters express more partisan views because they were raised under parents and in a society that had already begun to become more partisan. As they continue to age and as the older population tends to vote in a higher respective percentage, they will further skew the politicians’ own political attitudes.
            Many voters tend to think of themselves as being moderate, regardless of how they affiliate with either the Democratic or Republican parties, and if voters are in fact moderates, and there is only a correlation, not causation between voter age group turnout and the partisanship of the elected candidates, then there must be another factor at work. The assumption is that the majority of American voters are moderates. For this to be the case, the influence of socio-environmental factors of history and parenting would have been minimal. In a 1992 Gallup Poll survey, 43% of Americans polled identified with moderate as their political ideology. Over the past nineteen years, that number has changed to 36%, falling short of the number of Americans who identify as conservative by five points. The number of Americans identifying as liberal has too, increased, albeit only from 17% to 21%. Americans regardless of their political ideology are beginning to openly associate themselves with a definitive ideology; Americans are moving away from the center and towards either the left or right ends of the political spectrum.
             But, what could be responsible for the shift away from the center? Why are Americans becoming more comfortable with the notion of political identification with liberal or conservative priorities? One potential source of partisanship that has been identified is the socio-environmental factors of heightened political and social pressure after World War II and throughout the Cold War. The other is one that has worked in accordance with the catalyst to intensify partisanship: The Congressional practice of redistricting whereby districts have been solidified into Democrat and Republican safe zones.
If one district has at least 50 percent of its constituents from an antecedent district, the two districts are “linked.” If a district does not have at least 50 percent of its constituents from an antecedent district, they call it a “new” district. They find that members from these new districts have more polarized roll call voting records than members from linked districts. In the 1992 round of redistricting, for example, they find that the 63 members from new districts were almost 25 percent more ideological than the members who were elected in old districts. (Sean M. Theriault, 2005).
            Once polarized candidates came to power, they and their increasingly polarized party leaders used redistricting to create these havens for their respective future candidates. In such districts, candidates would have to further reinforce their political views to win an election, particularly any election where their seat was being challenged. Theriault quotes Bryan Jones’ from the Seattle Times in summarizing redistricting in practice, “Lawmakers elected from solidly safe districts have less incentive to compromise…Homogenous districts add to the polarization of political parties.” Districts that have become dominated by one political ideology over the other do not demand that their representatives look to compromise in Congress because their representative embodies their political desires. Redistricting has also resulted in the rise of political segregation, increasingly escaping the political arena.
            Partisan politicians used the powers of their office to recreate the districts so as to favor their party in elections over the other. The effect has been to consolidate liberals and conservatives into districts that are typically populated by one political ideology. This was an intentional purposefully perpetrated by both parties over the last three decades. An unintended side effect has been to foster a new form of self-identification that has spread beyond the political arena. Shankar Vedantam argues that partisanship has become the newest form of discrimination in American, effectively, he says, it has replaced racism as a means by which people perceive others during first encounters.
Consider this thought experiment: I have two neighbors, Jack and Jill. Jill is an African-American woman and a yoga instructor. Jack is a white man and an evangelical Christian. I've told you nothing about Jack and Jill's views about abortion, government, guns, taxes, or foreign policy. Yet most of us would have no trouble guessing that Jill is a Democrat and Jack is a Republican. How do we know this? Because social identity—race, gender, religious affiliation, geographical location—play an outsize (and largely hidden) role in determining our partisan affiliations. (2011).
            As political affiliations have evolved to encompass one’s social identity, they have come to determine, or largely influence, behavior. People with more liberal leaning political attitudes are increasingly likely to migrate to “blue states” or liberal-friendly regions of a city or state, and the same is true for those of conservative attitudes. The discrimination aspect of political-social identity was examined in a study that Shankar Vedantam cites in his article, “Partisanship Is the New Racism,” where he summarizes the following: Average voters of either party, when reviewing GPAs, SAT test scores, and recommendation letters, were less likely (from 79% to 44%) to choose to accept into a university a student if they were aware their political affiliation differed from their own, even if they had the lower test scores. Just as in the scenario with Jack and Jill, the race, gender, occupation of a person has come to reflect their likely political attitudes. Similarly to racism, it is effecting how one American interacts with another, going so far as a doctor in Mount Dora, Florida posted a sign warning supporters of President Obama to “seek care elsewhere” and “changes to your healthcare begin right now, not in four years” (Stephen Hudak, 2010).
            Not everyone, however is comfortable with the placing the blame squarely on redistricting or even on the politicians themselves. Anthony Horvath, a blogger on the website “St. Jonny.com,” believes that the source of partisanship has sprouted from the voters, specifically moderates, whom he feels are unable or unwilling to identify with either liberals or conservatives.
Consider then what has happened in the span of just THREE YEARS. A bunch of people roundly rejected the ‘failed policies of George W. Bush,’ voting in uber-liberals across the country. Then, disgusted with the horrific government intrusion and massive overspending carried out by Obama and his ilk, just TWO YEARS LATER, they swept out Dem after dem and replaced them with Republicans, many of whom were staunch Tea Party types. Then, these Republicans implemented their policies to the extent that they could, and in outrage the populace lashed out, going so far in places like Wisconsin to have recall elections of several state senators (2 GOP senators fell) and arranging for a recall election of Gov. Walker. (Anthony Horvath, 2012).
            In the following paragraph, Horvath continues in stating that the true liberals and the true conservatives do not possess the numbers to elect these increasingly partisan candidates. Candidates work to solidify the support of their base, those who have openly identified themselves as either liberal or conservative, and then use much of the campaign season to garner a sufficient number of moderate supporters to win the election. In American politics, a narrow victory, even in a contested district, can appear to a candidate as a mandate from the people to implement his or her partisan policies. That is the pattern in which American politics has been cycling; candidates campaigning on sweeping changes are elected, then find their attempts to implement the policies they campaigned on as a liability in their next election. The moderate voters hold a tremendous amount of power in American politics; this has been admitted by every candidate for president for the last thirty years, but the moderates’ attitudes on the direction government seem to change from one election to the next.
            If the majority of American voters are in fact “middle of the road” moderates, if they were not as greatly influenced by the events of the world during the second half of the 20th Century as their elected officials have been since 1980, and if there has not been a snowball effect of partisanship from one generation to the next, then the cause for partisanship in America must be explained through the voting habits of moderates. Redistricting produced Democratic and Republican safe seats in Congressional elections, and has also had the effect of consolidating more politically ideological voters. Moderates would appear then to be caught in the crossfire of the political battle; giving their support to the opposing sides, perhaps in an effort to bring politics back to the center, but which has apparently had the opposite effect. But, the cause for partisanship cannot be leveled at moderates, the perpetuating of partisanship, conceivably, but not the cause.
            The cause is rooted in the history of both the world and the evolution of the United States since 1945. The rise of the United States as one of the world’s two most powerful nations, the growth of prosperity in America, the racial tension and demand for civil liberties, the rampant fear of nuclear war and Communist subversives, political scandals and assassinations, the waging of unpopular war, all of these socio-environmental factors influenced the generations that lived through them. Hardline stances had to be taken more than once during the last fifty years of the 20th Century by American presidents and politicians for the sake and survival of their principles. These attitudes that followed the deadliest conflict in human history were transmitted to the youth of America that witnessed the changing mechanics of politics, and could not help but be imparted with similar perspectives that eventually were no longer aimed at America’s enemies, but fellow Americans.
            The United States has become more polarized and partisan in its politics. There is no one single cause for the increase partisanship: The fault can be placed upon human nature in a changing society—and responding to potential nuclear proliferation—the redistricting that party leaders used to strengthen the power of their party, and development of political identification, and the balancing act in which moderates seem to play. It is a living organism that will grow and evolve as the attitudes governing politics and human interaction change with each generation, but although I have identified the post-war era as the catalyst for the rise of partisanship in which we experience today, it has always existed. There is not a single civilization that has not been plagued by it; some, such as various European systems thrive from diverse political parties with partisan agendas. There has been an evolutionary jump in the American political system with regards to partisanship and polarization, but eventually, the American people, politicians, and political system will adapt.


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